US Weekly Report 11th November 2007


DOW and ES-minis

Last weekly report my expectation was two fold, the market would consolidate above higher timeframe 50% levels. These were and are very valid support zones.

My second expectation was that if these levels broke this week the market would be on its way down into lower monthly-extended zones. This is a repeating pattern and a probability pattern.

Trading is simply about buying and selling support/resistance along with understanding that price has a certain trend it follows.

Sometimes during the trading week we all get the perfect trade because everything aligns with market dynamics, as was the case in the US selling the 5-day 50% levels and trading them down.

However, during the trading week not everyday is perfect and certain things need to happen before the trade eventuates and/or the Risk diminishes….

Weekly charts are showing the break, and this has continued down or continuing down into previous consolidating support.

For many these October levels might seem support, especially if there is a 2-3 day counter-trend move in the markets next week, but probability patterns often suggest that the price normally follows the model, so the expectation is that November lows are the target before any major rally or support is verified…

US report continues below....