Index Futures, Forex Reports 11th Oct 08

Weekly Index & Forex Reports out now...

Australian Index (SPI) Futures

http://austindex.blogspot.com/


DOW and S&P Index Futures


http://usindexweekly.blogspot.com/

EUR/USD, AUD/USD. GBP/USD

http://www.forexspread.blogspot.com/

Note: Weekly BHP and Banking Reports Update

http://aussie-stocks.blogspot.com/




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  • DOW S&P Trading 10th Oct 2008 recap

    "There is no higher timeframe support, therefore it's all about the 5-day pattern.

    Thursday's 5-day breakout, therefore the expectation price is moving down.

    The ideal pattern for global markets would be to see US markets move down into Friday's support and then swing upwards into the 5-day 50% level in late trading. And not the other way around

    Note:- Friday's trend bias should be defined by Thursday's 5-day lows"


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    DOW and S&P 5-day pattern

    1000 point trading range on the DOW on Friday does constitute a wild and volatile day.

    It started with US markets selling down from Thursday's 5-day low and heading down into Friday's support zones, sadly it just didn't get down far enough into precise support zones.

    And then a late reversal back towards the 5-day 50% level...

    Weekly Report out later....



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  • SPI Trading 10th October 2008 recap

    SPI Weekly and 5-day pattern

    SPI closes @ 4051.

    In fact it closes below the Yearly lows @ 4232, the Quarterly lows @ 4160, and one of the most robust support patterns within the Weekly range, price closes below the 5-day lows @ 4083.

    It is not very often that you'll see the SPI not rise upwards from the Yellow support levels.

    Weekly Report tomorrow.....




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    • DOW S&P trading 9th October 2008 recap

      "US markets are trading below every higher timeframe support zone for 2008.

      The only guide at this stage is the 5-day pattern, as prices follow the rotation back into the 50% levels and the extension outward.

      And the same applies today:- trade on the side of the Yellow filter support levels"


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      DOW S&P 5-day pattern

      Thursday breaks support and price contines down into Thursday's lows...

      The same breakout pattern as Tuesday.....



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    • SPI Daily 9th October 2008 recap

      "Just like yesterday's 4491, today's 4343 is the trend guide.

      No probability on direction:- below and it's following the 5-day pattern lower, & above and it's trying to move back into the 5-day 50%


      Heading down into the Yearly lows @ 4232.


      NOTE:- CBA has been suspended for the past 2 days based on it's take over of bank west. CBA could open around $39.00 or less, which can effect the market today, and obviously drag the financial Index lower"


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      SPI Daily and 5-day pattern 17:00

      There was on probability on today's direction, with Thursday moving either side of 4343, and a late sell down into the close.



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    • DOW S&P Trading 8th October 08 recap



      "Yesterday broke support and continued down into Tuesday's lows.

      At this stage it's simply follow the 5-day pattern.

      Any further weakness down and it's into the support levels (yellow).

      Normally a break of support (previous day) would swing into the 5-day 50% level and continue down into support the next day.

      Simply define Wednesday's trading by Tuesday's 5-day lows.

      Below and it's moving down into Wednesday' support.

      Above and it's trying to swing back into the 5-day 50% level"


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      DOW S&P 5-day pattern

      Both US markets followed the rotation back towards the 5-day 50% level on Wednesday on the news that %rates were cut, but once again followed the 5-day pattern lower.

      The range volatility within the 5-day pattern over the past few days has been tremendous, and yesterday's price movement followed the pattern which often occurs during normal times of rotating back into the 50% levels and then continuing lower.

      The trend within this 'weekly' timeframe is defined by the 5-day 50% level, and whilst price is trading below all higher timeframe support levels in 2008, there is nothing to guide traders on the way down other than using the 5-day pattern.

      At this stage the S&P looks to be continuing down into 933 (2007 3-year lows)




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    • SPI trading 8th October 2008 recap

      "SPI back around the October lows after rotating back into the 50% levels yesterday and remaining below September lows @ 4701.

      The blue channel from Thursday @ 4491 should be a level which defines how well October lows support the market, if there is buying support on the lower open today then 4491 should still be used as today's trend guide :resistance

      Below 4400 and price is following the 5-day pattern lower"


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      SPI Daily and 5-day pattern 16:30
      SPI opens lower on Wednesday and swings back into 4491 and stalls and moves into a consolidating trading day between the October lows and 4491.

      And with price continuing down into the 5-day lows.

      DOW S&P 7th October 2008 Recap



      DOW S&P 5-day pattern


      US markets back down around their Quarterly lows, pushed down from the 50% level.

      Once below support, the price pattern was to follow the 5-day pattern lower towards Tuesday's lows.

      SPI Trading 7th October 2008

      SPI Weekly and 5-day pattern

      SPI moves down into the October lows (support) and swings back into the 50% levels, helped by the 1% cut in interest rates today.

      October 50% level is still the trend guide of the rest of this month, but at this stage it's following the Weekly report of the October lows supporting the market for this current month.


      S&P Daily 6th October 2008 recap

      S&P Daily and 5-day pattern

      As per Weekly report:- the breakout of the 3rd Quarter lows on the close of Friday last week has sent US markets down into the October lows.





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    • SPI Trading 6th October 2008 recap

      SPI Weekly and 5-day pattern.

      SPI opens below the 5-day filter 4662 and continues down as price follows the new monthly range of October, dragged down by resource stocks.