DOW E-mini 20th February 2008

"Monday that rises higher has a random length:- it might reach the 5-day highs or it might not, but it's not a 'shorting' day whilst trading above the Weekly 50% level.

A Monday that rises higher is the start of a new Trading week with the potential that price could continue higher each day:- But that's not my Analytical view because of resistance.

A 'shorting' day will be valid around higher timeframe resistance and a higher open on Tuesday, but that will need to be confirmed by price moving back under the Weekly 50% level. If that price action occurs then my Analytical view is price is moving back down into Weekly lows, and at a much faster rate than many would expect....


(Weekly Report 17th February)


That's the Price action we have on Tuesday, and whilst the US markets are trading below the Weekly 50% levels in both markets, then my expectation is that price is heading towards the
.618 ranges (circled)

The Trend guide on Wednesday is going to be driven the 5-day 50% levels in both markets, with the expectation that price is heading down into support levels....

Those levels can often support the market today, but they aren't BUY zones this week:- the trading zones are the 5-day 50% levels to trade down into lower support zones and exit.....

The entire analysis is based on price trading below the Weekly 50% levels in both markets as per Weekly Report...