SPI & DOW Weekly July 2008



DOW and SPI (Aussie) Weekly charts

Expectation global markets would reverse off their July lows and swing back towards their Monthly 50% levels.

Once they get to their Monthly 50% level next week, I've factored in another wave down to complete the downtrend in 2008.

In the charts you can see that there is a trailing white line. This white line is the 3-week cycle, which often defines the trend within each Quarterly timeframe.

This cycle is important because it's going to give me a better idea on the speed on any reversal downward.

Basically, a failure to close above that level next Week (close of the month) and there is a good chance that market will begin the next down trend.

If Market closes above that level next Friday (close of the month), I still favour further weakness, but it might take until after September and the next Quarter to begin the downtrend.

A Friday close above the 'cycle' next Friday can attract more short-covering for the rest of this Quarter.

So let's see where next Friday closes....

Financials making good gains, and hopefully I'll be out of the of financials next week.

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