S&P (e-mini ) 14 th October 09 recap

"In the Weekly report my view was for the first two days to push up towards the Weekly highs.

Weekly highs are viewed as random resistance levels this week, and at still don’t have a probability pattern other than using the levels in the 5-day pattern.

Wednesday’s 5-day highs random resistance"


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S&P Weekly and 5-day pattern

S&P continues to creep upwards as reporting season breathes more life into the markets.

Wednesday pushed upwards hit resistance in the 5-day pattern and some early selling pressure, but a late move above will push prices higher on Thursday.

As of Thursday, I would be to look for the same patterns and continue to use market dynamics as resistance levels in the 5-day pattern, and begin to hold positions contracts into the close.

That’s simply because on Thursday, the 3-monthly cycle from July into October will have played out.

There’s no view that there will be a major reversal down on Thursday or even this week, but it’s something to be aware that any short-term reversal being 1-2 days or more will start from a level within the model.

I have a 4th Quarter extension pattern that can take the S&P towards 1141, but if it’s going to go towards that level I feel it's more likely to kick upwards from November.

At this stage I have 3 Weekly set-ups coming into play based on Friday’s close and this new 3-month cycle (4th Quarter)