S&P (e-mini ) 26th October 09 recap

SET-UP A: - reversal down occurs in the last week of the current month as price goes looking for the monthly 50% levels

This often happens on Tuesday after Monday initially moves down into the Weekly 50% level and finds support, and then Tuesday breaks support and trends down (large trending day)

Monday:- price normally will try and rise upwards, therefore it won’t surprise me to see a Spike upwards on Monday using Yellow Support in both markets

DOW spike and resistance 10021
ES spike and resistance 1086.

If there is a spike upwards and then price should continue down and into Monday’s 5-day lows, then I would suggest holding positions open because Tuesday might surprise a few people.

Depending on how many contracts traded:- partial exit the 5-day lows on Monday.


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S&P Weekly and 5-day pattern

Everything on Monday has played out precisely, from the rise upwards on Monday and the ‘spike’ into upper resistance levels in both the DOW and S&P, and both markets have reversed down into the Weekly 50% level closing on the lows.

If US markets are going to follow SET-UP B, as per the Weekly report, then Tuesday will swing upwards off these lows and close back above the 5-day 50% level.

However, we aren’t trading SET-UP B, we are trading SET-UP A, and traders should have partial exited around Monday’s low and or the Weekly 50% level and hold…

Because Tuesday might surprise a few people?

Well if it follows SET-UP A, Tuesday’s trending down day will be back around the 3-week lows on the same day and could even be lower by Wednesday.