SPI Daily 28 October 2009 recap

"SPI trading below the Weekly 50% level and with the expectation price is moving down into the 3-week lows

We have a break and extend pattern from Tuesday down into Wednesday's low (resistance 4764)

Random support 4728 (spiral low)"





SPI Weekly and 5-day pattern


SPI opens below the Weekly 50% level, and there is a breakout of Tuesday’s lows @ 4794 so there is an expectation that Wednesday will continue down into the lows:- break and extend pattern.

first sign of the reversal pattern was yesterday's 5-day breakout, and 2nd sign was the confirmation of price below the weekly 50% level (Today)

There was a spiral filter level @ 4728, and often those spiral lows can provide a swing zone for a rotation upwards 42 points and then continue down overnight.

However, there are certain weeks in every 3-month cycle that the market will trend and not intra-day swing, and this week is one of those:- last week reversal pattern back towards the monthly 50% level following the line of least resistance in the higher timeframes.

October high reversal pattern and break of the Weekly 50% levels



SPI Monthly and Weekly


SPI continues with the reversal down after completing the 3-month cycle breakout pattern from July into October.

I expected more weakness in US markets on Tuesday, and for the SPI to already be trading around the 3-week lows by Wednesday and heading lower by Friday.

Hopefully the S&P continues down and provides the trending pattern that I expected yesterday, and not remain inside the 5-day range and more rotation until November.

I want price to drop as far as possible this week so the volatility comes back into the market and provides more ideal swing trading.









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