SPI Daily 8th February 2011 recap

there is enough reason for the SPI to hit 4871 and reverse down:- completion of the break and extend pattern from Friday.

Next Spiral filter forms at 4849, which matches the February highs, and is the trend guide for today.


 

SPI Weekly and Daily range.

Early resistance around Tuesday’s highs @ 4871,  and a 21 point reversal down into 4849 forming the next spiral filter.

There were two patterns at play around 4849….

#1 if below it's moving down another 42 points from 4849. Also February highs

#2 if above it's trending up towards the highs @ 4893+


The market followed #2, and whether the SPI continues up towards 4893 during sycom will depend on the S&P 500 and it’s February highs @ 1316.






S&P (e-mini ) 7th February 2011 Daily recap.

"Weekly highs match the monthly highs @ 1316 :- resistance."

                                                 S&P 500 Weekly and Daily range.

Monday has pushed upwards and it’s hit resistance @ 1316 and stalled (Weekly and Monthly highs


The rest of this week has two possible patterns that’s going to play out…


#1. 1316 resists the trend from moving upwards, and reverses back down. If below 1304, then I'd be looking for further weakness this week, as it completes the double monthly high in February

#2 1304 pushes the S&P 500 upwards, and the trend continues to move towards 1331 during the current month of February, as illustrate in the Weekly report.

At this stage I’m treating the market as hitting resistance, but there hasn’t been follow through just yet to help validate #1, using 1304 as the trend guide.

And whilst the market remains above Monday's highs @ 1312, there is always the possibility that Tuesday moves upwards once again.





SPI Daily 7th February 2011 recap

As per Weekly report, there is an expectation that the trend is following the Weekly range towards 4881, which matches the Quarterly highs @ 4883

However, if below 4852 the expectation the market is moving back down

4834 random support.



SPI Weekly and Daily range.

 
There are two patterns at play, as per Weekly report….

#1 the market continues upwards (4881/83)

Or

#2 the market has completed the double monthly high in February @ 4849 and begins to rotate back down.

The latter won’t happen unless the S&P 500 reverses down from it’s own February highs.

Therefore 4834 and the Weekly level was seen as a random support zone, and not a higher probability BUY zone today.





Index, Forex, Stocks 5th Feb 2011 Weekly

Weekly Index & Forex Reports out now...

Australian Index (SPI) Futures

http://austindex.blogspot.com/


DOW and S&P Index Futures


http://usindexweekly.blogspot.com/

US Dollar INDEX, AUD/USD, EUR/USD

http://www.forexspread.blogspot.com/

OIL Futures:- OIL BOIL

http://www.oilboil.blogspot.com/



Note: Weekly BHP, RIO,  Banking Report Update


S&P (e-mini ) 4th February 2011 Daily recap.

Support around 1297/99 for a push towards higher highs (February highs)

Resistance @ 1312/16



S&P Weekly and Daily range.

Early support and a 8.5 point rise towards Friday's highs.

However, it failed to continue towards the Monthly highs @ 1316, which it's likely to be reached early next week.






SPI Daily 4th February 2011 recap

I have the view that the market is continuing towards the Weekly highs @ 4816/18, and then towards next week’s highs, which matches the February highs @ 4849.

Support 4788



SPI Weekly and Daily range.

The SPI has completed the move into the monthly highs @ 4849, validated by the breakout of the Weekly highs @ 4816/18

At the start of the trading day my view was an upwards trend, but I was leaning towards the market following an orderly pattern within the Weekly ranges.

Whereas today, the market completed the move with a breakout pattern on the last day of the Week.







S&P (e-mini ) 3rd February 2011 Daily recap.

whilst above the Weekly highs @ 1297, expectation the trend is continuing towards the February highs.

Random support 1289



S&P Weekly and Daily range.

Early weakness, but a failure to move down into 1289, and the daily 50% level.

Trend bias is to complete the double monthly high pattern in February @ 1316, whilst the market remains above the Weekly highs @ 1297







SPI Daily 3rd February 2011 recap

above the Weekly 50% level & the bias is to continue higher

it lends its self to more upside using 4761 as the trend guide:- 42 points upwards



SPI Weekly and Daily Range.


As the market is trading above the Weekly 50% level, expectation is that the the trend is continuing towards the Weekly highs

Early support @ 4761, but a failure to reach the 42 point target during the day session & Thursday’s highs







S&P (e-mini ) 2nd February 2011 Daily recap.

With the S&P trading above 1298 (weekly highs) my view is that the trend should continues towards 1316


Resistance 1312-1316



S&P Weekly and Daily range.

With Tuesday’s daily close above the Weekly and Daily highs, my view was that Wednesday would continue to move upwards, as part of a break and extend pattern

Instead it remained flat, and trading around it’s 2011 primary highs @ 1300

Around 1312/16 is seen as resistance, simply because it completes the double monthly high pattern during the current Quarterly cycle.






SPI Daily 2nd February 2011 recap

keep an eye on is the previous brown filter @ 4775

if above this level it will continue to push upwards today.

if not it is likely to push down towards support levels @ 4745 (Weekly 50% level)



SPI Weekly and Daily range

With the market trading above the Weekly 50% level @ 4745, the expectation was that the trend was moving up towards the Daily highs @ 4798

Early rise upwards of 21 points, but then it struggled to rise higher than 4775, drifting lower into the close and remaining in a tight 21 point range.





S&P (e-mini ) 1st February 2011 Daily recap.

"Monday's price action suggests there is more upside in the markets, as the DOW is pushed up from the Weekly 50% level, whilst the S&P closes above the Weekly 50% level.

And January's monthly highs (resistance) have now disappeared, so there is the potential for the trend to continue towards the Weekly highs, and then push higher towards the February highs."



S&P Weekly and Daily range.

Monday’s price action and the shift in the Monthly resistance levels in January have allowed the S&P to make higher highs,

This was helped with Monday's reversal from the Weekly lows and then the daily close above the Weekly 50% level @ 1280.

And with price now currently trading above the Weekly highs @ 1298, the trend bias is to continue towards the February highs, with upside targets being 1316, and as high as 1331.

However, as per Weekly report, my view for the S&P was to reverse down into the monthly 50% levels before the trend would continue upwards.

And at the start of the day, my resistance zones were 1287-1290 using levels in the daily range, with the expectation that price would move back down into 1274.75, and then continue to move down towards the February 50% level by the end of the week.

If the market was going to go higher using text book patterns, it would find support @ 1274.75 on Tuesday and then continue higher on Wednesday, forming a HOOK pattern, and then continue rising upwards from the Weekly 50% level.

But that changed once the market started trading above the daily channel high @ 1290, & the trend has simply followed the change in monthly dynamics, upwards, as resistance levels have now moved.